| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Clyde | 35 | -22 | 39 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 35 | -24 | 31 |
| 10 | East Fife | 35 | -38 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Queen's Park | 35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 35 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 28.61% | 24.44% | 46.95% |
| Both teams to score 56.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% | 45.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% | 68.09% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% | 29.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% | 65.56% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% | 19.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% | 51.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.3% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 5.09% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.95% |