Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 34.58% | 26.37% | 39.05% |
| Both teams to score 52.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.65% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% | 64.42% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% | 26.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% | 61.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.05% |