Dumbarton
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Stirling Albion

Dumbarton
1 - 2
Stirling

MacLean (86')
Wylde (15'), Wilson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomson (54'), Moore (68')
Cummins (84')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dumbarton and Stirling Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Edinburgh
    Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

    Stirling Albion

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Stirling 5-0 Edinburgh
      Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

      Result
      DumbartonDrawStirling Albion
      40.96% (0.668 0.67)27.09% (-0.155 -0.16)31.95% (-0.513 -0.51)
      Both teams to score 49.9% (0.32 0.32)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      44.68% (0.479 0.48)55.32% (-0.48 -0.48)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      23.46% (0.391 0.39)76.54% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
      Dumbarton Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      73.44% (0.58800000000001 0.59)26.56% (-0.588 -0.59)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      38.23% (0.772 0.77)61.77% (-0.774 -0.77)
      Stirling Albion Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      67.95% (-0.108 -0.11)32.06% (0.109 0.11)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      31.47% (-0.124 -0.12)68.53% (0.122 0.12)
      Score Analysis
          Dumbarton 40.95%
          Stirling Albion 31.95%
          Draw 27.09%
      DumbartonDrawStirling Albion
      1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
      2-1 @ 8.51% (0.1 0.1)
      2-0 @ 7.48% (0.109 0.11)
      3-1 @ 3.76% (0.106 0.11)
      3-0 @ 3.31% (0.103 0.1)
      3-2 @ 2.14% (0.054 0.05)
      4-1 @ 1.25% (0.055 0.06)
      4-0 @ 1.1% (0.051 0.05)
      Other @ 2.12%
      Total : 40.95%
      		1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
      0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
      2-2 @ 4.84% (0.042 0.04)
      Other @ 0.89%
      Total : 27.09%
      		0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
      1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.057 -0.06)
      0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
      1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
      0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
      2-3 @ 1.84% (0.011 0.01)
      Other @ 2.76%
      Total : 31.95%