Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.44%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.