Dumbarton
Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 12.15pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Dumbarton
0 - 1
Aberdeen


Wedderburn (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hendry (84')
Hoban (69')

The Match

Match Report

Substitute Callum Hendry secured a safe passage into round four for the Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.44%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawAberdeen
9.22%18.36%72.42%
Both teams to score 38.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86%50.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89%72.1%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.34%55.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.73%88.27%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.54%12.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.59%38.41%
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 9.22%
    Aberdeen 72.42%
    Draw 18.36%
DumbartonDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 4.06%
2-1 @ 2.48%
2-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 9.22%
1-1 @ 8.46%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.36%
0-2 @ 15.04%
0-1 @ 14.44%
0-3 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 6.12%
0-4 @ 5.44%
1-4 @ 3.19%
0-5 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 72.42%

rhs 2.0


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