| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Arbroath | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Raith Rovers | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Ayr United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 52.98% ( | 25.7% ( | 21.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% ( | 56.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( | 77.62% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( | 21.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( | 54.46% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.74% ( | 78.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.14% Total : 21.31% |