| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ayr United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 39.81% ( | 28.08% ( | 32.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.06% ( | 58.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% ( | 79.42% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( | 28.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( | 33.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( | 70.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 39.81% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.11% |