Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Balmoral Stadium

Cove Rangers
2 - 3
Kelty Hearts

Fyvie (29'), Leitch (87')
Reynolds (48'), Fyvie (60'), Scully (63'), Vigurs (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Agyeman (16'), McNab (23'), Austin (71')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Cove Rangers and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

Last Six:

Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Ayr United	0	0	0
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0
4	Dundee	0	0	0

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Albion Rovers
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Falkirk	0	0	0
7	Kelty Hearts	0	0	0
8	Montrose	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Cove Rangers	Draw	Kelty Hearts
36.34% ( 2.2)	26.36% ( -0.08)	37.3% ( -2.12)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.27% (

0.55)

51.73% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.5% (

0.47)

73.5% (

-0.47)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53% (

1.61)

27.47% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04% (

2.03)

62.96% (

-2.03)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

-0.93)

26.91% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76% (

-1.23)

62.24% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Cove Rangers 36.34%

Kelty Hearts 37.3%

Draw 26.35%

Cove Rangers	Draw	Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.3%