Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 33.59% and a draw has a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 1-0 (10.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 33.59% | 27.25% | 39.16% |
| Both teams to score 49.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% | 76.75% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% | 67.4% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% | 63.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.15% |