Scottish Championship
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 33' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 33' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 48' goal
  • Aaron Comrie 50' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Dowds 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Holt 29'

Greenock Morton vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
St Johnstone 5 - 0 Morton
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Dunfermline 2 - 3 Ayr
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mark McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Greenock Morton 30.7% (-2.84)
Draw 27.33% (+0.08)
Ayr United 41.96% (+2.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.73% (-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.41% (-0.97)
Under 2.5 56.59% (+0.97)
Over 3.5 22.43% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 77.57% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 9.77% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 90.23% (+0.48)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 66.4% (-2.47)
Under 0.5 33.6% (+2.47)
Over 1.5 29.75% (-2.79)
Under 1.5 70.24% (+2.79)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% (+1.07)
Under 0.5 26.61% (-1.07)
Over 1.5 38.16% (+1.39)
Under 1.5 61.83% (-1.40)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 30.7%
Draw 27.33%
Ayr United 41.96%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 7.04% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.55)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.38)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.35)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.94% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.33%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 11.83% (+0.77)
1-2 @ 8.55% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 7.84% (+0.73)
1-3 @ 3.77% (+0.22)
0-3 @ 3.46% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-96.66)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.96%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron Blues 56' goal
  • Jordan Davies 77' goal
  • Dylan Corr 84' redcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Main 8'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 45'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Nick McAllister 24' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Stuparevic 36'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Morgan Boyes 19' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 37' goal
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 44'
  • goal George Oakley 50'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 56'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 79'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 80'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 66' goal
  • Nick McAllister 69' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 34'
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 34'
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 52'
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 52'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 66'