Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Greenock Morton
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Ayr United

vs.

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 5-0 Morton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-3 Ayr
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 33.59% and a draw has a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 1-0 (10.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
33.59%27.25%39.16%
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42%55.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26%76.75%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93%31.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61%67.4%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78%63.23%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 33.59%
    Ayr United 39.15%
    Draw 27.25%
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.59%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.15%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2025 3pm
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
Mar 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 28
Morton
2-1
Ayr
Blues (56'), Davies (77')
Lyall (88'), Lyall (88')
Corr (84')
Main (8')
McAllister (45'), Oakley (87')
Dec 28, 2024 3pm
gameweek 19
Ayr
0-0
Morton
McAllister (24'), Devlin (26'), Dempsey (44')
Stuparevic (36')
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Morton
1-1
Ayr
Wilson (37')
Boyes (19')
Oakley (50')
McAllister (44'), Dempsey (56'), McLennan (79'), Watret (80'), Oakley (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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