Scottish Championship

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Dunfermline Dunfermline Athletic
2-3
Ayr Ayr United

Ngwenya (63', 65')

FT(HT: 0-3)

McKenzie (5'), Dowds (26'), King (45+4')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-3 Ayr
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Next Game: Raith Rovers vs. Dunfermline
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-3 Ayr
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Next Game: Morton vs. Ayr
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
35.86% ( -0.22)	28.63% ( 0.08)	35.5% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.47% (

-0.28)

60.53% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.36% (

-0.21)

80.64% (

0.21)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

-0.29)

32.1% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

-0.33)

68.58% (

0.33)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

-0.06)

32.34% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

-0.06)

68.85% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 35.86%

Ayr United 35.5%

Draw 28.62%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.5%