Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Ayr United

DunfermlineDunfermline Athletic
vs.
AyrAyr United

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: QotS 4-3 Dunfermline
Tuesday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Ayr United

All competitions
Last Game: Ayr 2-4 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Ayr United has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Ayr United win is 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.31%).

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAyr United
35.86% (-0.219 -0.22)28.63% (0.080000000000002 0.08)35.5% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.47% (-0.283 -0.28)60.53% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.36% (-0.214 -0.21)80.64% (0.212 0.21)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.286 -0.29)32.1% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.328 -0.33)68.58% (0.32599999999999 0.33)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)32.34% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.85% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 35.86%
    Ayr United 35.5%
    Draw 28.62%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.5%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2025 3pm
Ayr
0-1
Dunfermline
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr
Mar 29, 2025 3pm
gameweek 31
Ayr
3-0
Dunfermline
McLennan (45'), Murphy (68'), Walker (90+5')
McAllister (61')

Chalmers (81')
Wanyama (84')
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Dunfermline
0-2
Ayr

Otoo (58')
Henderson (61'), Oakley (71')
Dempsey (50'), Agbaire (90')
Nov 23, 2024 3.45pm
gameweek 15
Ayr
1-0
Dunfermline
Henderson (67')
Rus (41'), Devlin (65'), Dempsey (77')

Ritchie-Hosler (28'), Clay (36'), Comrie (62'), Otoo (70')