Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

2

3

HT : 0 3

FT

Zak Rudden 41'
Zak Rudden 42'
Kieran Ngwenya 63'
Kieran Ngwenya 65'
Charlie Gilmour 83'

Mark McKenzie 5'
Anton Dowds 26'
Stuart Bannigan 30'
Leon King 45'+4'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

L
D
L
W
L
D

Scottish Championship

D
L
W
L
D
W

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

Queen's Park 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Andy Tod

Ayr United

All competitions

L
D
W
D
D
L

Scottish Championship

L
D
W
D
D
L

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

Ayr 2 - 4 St Johnstone

Goals scored

33

Top scorer

Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 35.86% ▼ (-0.22)

Draw 28.63% ▲ (+0.09)

Ayr United 35.5% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score:

45.93% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.47% ▼ (-0.29)

Under 2.5 60.53% ▲ (+0.29)

Over 3.5 19.36% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 3.5 80.64% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 4.5 7.97% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 4.5 92.03% ▲ (+0.13)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 67.89% ▼ (-0.29)

Under 0.5 32.1% ▲ (+0.29)

Over 1.5 31.42% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 1.5 68.58% ▲ (+0.33)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 67.66% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 32.34% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 31.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 68.85% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 35.86%

Draw 28.62%

Ayr United 35.5%

Dunfermline Athletic

1-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.04)

3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)

3-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.04)

3-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 2.78%

Total : 35.86%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.31% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.12)

2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 0.66%

Total : 28.62%

Ayr United

0-1 @ 11.72% ▲ (+0.12)

1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.05)

1-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.73%

Total : 35.5%

Head to Head

Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Somerset Park

Connor McLennan 45'
Nick McAllister 61'
Jamie Murphy 68'
Ethan Walker 90'+5'

Joe Chalmers 81'
Victor Wanyama 84'

Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT East End Park

Ewan Otoo 58'

Ben Dempsey 50'
Jay Henderson 61'
George Oakley 71'
Lenny Agbaire 90'

Nov 23, 2024 3.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Somerset Park

Marco Rus 41'
Michael Devlin 65'
Jay Henderson 67'
Ben Dempsey 77'

Kane Ritchie-Hosler 28'
Craig Clay 36'
Aaron Comrie 62'
Ewan Otoo 70'

Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT East End Park

Ewan Otoo 15'
Aaron Comrie 21'
Craig Wighton 90'+1'

Dylan Watret 22'
Ben Dempsey 24'
Nick McAllister 35'
Ethan Walker 70'

Form Data

QotS 4 - 3 Dunfermline

Queen's Park 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 1 - 2 Arbroath

Dunfermline 1 - 0 Morton

Partick 1 - 0 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 2 - 2 St Johnstone

Ayr 2 - 4 St Johnstone

Ayr 0 - 0 Partick

Airdrieonians 0 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 1 - 1 Arbroath

Ross County 3 - 3 Ayr

Ayr 0 - 1 Dunfermline