Greenock Morton
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Bonnyrigg Rose

Morton
3 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose

Kabia (15'), Pignatiello (19'), Gillespie (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (9')
Turner (69')
Gray (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

Last Six:
    Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Morton (0-2 pen.)
    Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Falkirk (2-4 pen.)
      Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

      Result
      Greenock MortonDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
      45.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)25.75% (-0.023 -0.02)29.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
      Both teams to score 52.8% (0.052 0.05)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      48.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)51.01% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      27.13% (0.064 0.06)72.87% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
      Greenock Morton Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      77.38% (0.043999999999997 0.04)22.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      43.77% (0.07 0.07)56.23% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
      Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.23% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      31.8% (0.026999999999997 0.03)68.2% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
      Score Analysis
          Greenock Morton 45%
          Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 29.24%
          Draw 25.74%
      Greenock MortonDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
      1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
      2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
      3-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
      4-0 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
      4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 2.15%
      Total : 45%
      		1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
      2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
      3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 0.11%
      Total : 25.74%
      		0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
      1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
      1-3 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
      2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
      0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 2.78%
      Total : 29.24%