Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Station Park
Hamilton logo

Forfar
0 - 3
Hamilton


Munro (55'), Nditi (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shiels (45+1'), Ryan (50'), Winter (65')
Lawson (26')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Forfar Athletic and Hamilton Academical.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 1-0 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawHamilton Academical
14.18% (0.085000000000001 0.09)19.28% (0.12 0.12)66.54% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (-0.372 -0.37)41.51% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (-0.377 -0.38)63.91% (0.376 0.38)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (-0.114 -0.11)41.42% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (-0.099 -0.1)77.93% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (-0.164 -0.16)11.59% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43% (-0.35400000000001 -0.35)36.57% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 14.18%
    Hamilton Academical 66.52%
    Draw 19.28%
Forfar AthleticDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 4.23% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 4.02% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 14.18%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.28%
0-2 @ 11.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 4.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 66.52%