Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
3 - 0
Airdrieonians

McKenna (12'), Shanks (48'), Thomson (60')
Hamilton (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

Last Six:

Last Game: Edinburgh 1-3 Arbroath
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arbroath	0	0	0
2	Ayr United	0	0	0
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0

Airdrieonians

Last Six:

Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Airdrieonians	0	0	0
2	Alloa Athletic	0	0	0
3	Clyde	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Airdrieonians
45.82% ( -5.25)	27.94% ( 0.29)	26.25% ( 4.96)

Both teams to score 44.57% (

3.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.35% (

2.4)

60.66% (

-2.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.27% (

1.77)

80.73% (

-1.77)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

-1.45)

26.49% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

-1.97)

61.69% (

1.97)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.63% (

6.19)

39.37% (

-6.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

5.3)

76.07% (

-5.31)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 45.81%

Airdrieonians 26.25%

Draw 27.93%

Arbroath	Draw	Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 13.85% ( -1.94) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -1.73) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.97) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.97) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.62) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 1.14) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 1.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.59) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.36) Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.25%