Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
3 - 0
Cowdenbeath

Paterson (18'), Hamilton (41'), Donnelly (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Cowdenbeath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

Last Six:

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arbroath	0	0	0
2	Ayr United	0	0	0
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0

Cowdenbeath

Last Six:

Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-3 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 8.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Cowdenbeath
74.03% ( 0.09)	17.14% ( -0.08)	8.83% ( -0)

Both teams to score 40.93% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

0.33)

46.25% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

0.31)

68.55% (

-0.3)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.07% (

0.11)

10.93% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.88% (

0.24)

35.12% (

-0.24)

Cowdenbeath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.95% (

0.2)

54.05% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.69% (

0.12)

87.31% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 74.02%

Cowdenbeath 8.83%

Draw 17.14%

Arbroath	Draw	Cowdenbeath
2-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 74.02%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 17.14%	0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.83%