Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Dylan Paterson 18' goal
  • Colin Hamilton 41' goal
  • Luke Donnelly 60' goal

Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 9, 2022 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 1 Arbroath

Cowdenbeath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 9, 2022 3.00pm
Cowdenbeath 0 - 3 Airdrieonians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 8.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result

Arbroath 74.03% (+0.09)
Draw 17.14% (-0.08)
Cowdenbeath 8.83% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.93% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.75% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 46.25% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 31.46% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 68.55% (-0.31)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 89.07% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 10.93% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 64.88% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 35.12% (-0.25)

Cowdenbeath Goals

Over 0.5 45.95% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 54.05% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 12.69% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 87.31% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Arbroath 74.02%
Draw 17.14%
Cowdenbeath 8.83%
Arbroath
2-0 @ 14.47% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.57% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 74.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 17.14%
Cowdenbeath
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 8.83%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Rumsby 62' goal
  • goal Steven Doris 20'
  • goal Ryan McCord 48'
Scottish League Two
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Martin Scott 4' goal
  • Steven Doris 29' goal
  • Liam Henderson 54' goal
  • Gavin Malin 73' goal
  • yellowcard Fraser Mullen 60'
  • yellowcard Cameron Muirhead 75'
  • goal Scott Rumsby 93'
Scottish League Two
Dec 24, 2016 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shaun Rutherford 40' yellowcard
  • Fraser Mullen 89' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Skelly 74'
  • goal Steven Doris 87'
Scottish League Two
Sep 24, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Cup
Nov 28, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kenny Adamson 45' yellowcard
  • Craig Johnston 73' goal
  • goal Mark Whatley 56'