Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	East Fife
74.55% ( 0.44)	16.55% ( -0.51)	8.9% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 43.15% (

1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

2.47)

43.4% (

-2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

2.38)

65.8% (

-2.39)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.96% (

0.76)

10.04% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.89% (

1.73)

33.11% (

-1.73)

East Fife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.96% (

1.75)

52.04% (

-1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.97% (

1.11)

86.03% (

-1.12)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 74.53%

East Fife 8.9%

Draw 16.55%

Arbroath	Draw	East Fife
2-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.58) 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.93) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.29) 5-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.16) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 74.53%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.55%	0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.9%