Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.