Scottish League Two | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
3 - 3
Elgin

Miller (45'), Brown (51'), Crighton (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hester (16', 70'), Dingwall (54')

Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Elgin City
39.13% ( 0.37)	25.52% ( -0.07)	35.36% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 55.79% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

0.3)

48.13% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

0.27)

70.29% (

-0.27)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

0.33)

24.26% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

0.46)

58.61% (

-0.46)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66% (

-0.03)

26.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.52% (

-0.04)

61.48% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 39.13%

Elgin City 35.36%

Draw 25.51%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Elgin City
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.13%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.36%