Elgin City
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs
Stenhousemuir

Elgin
3 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Hester (29'), Dolzanski (33'), Dingwall (58')
Dolzanski (21'), Hester (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orr (72')
Jamieson (33'), O'Reilly (45+2'), Crighton (65')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Elgin City and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

Last Six:
Last Game: Elgin 2-2 Stranraer
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Stenhousemuir

Last Six:
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawStenhousemuir
40.22% (0.607 0.61)25.06% (-0.163 -0.16)34.71% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 57.25% (0.48399999999999 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.81% (0.662 0.66)46.19% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (0.623 0.62)68.48% (-0.624 -0.62)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.59699999999999 0.6)22.83% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.876 0.88)56.55% (-0.876 -0.88)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.051999999999992 0.05)25.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)60.75% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 40.22%
    Stenhousemuir 34.71%
    Draw 25.06%
Elgin CityDrawStenhousemuir
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.057999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.71%

How you voted: Elgin vs Stenhousemuir

Elgin City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Stenhousemuir
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Elgin
0-2
Stenhousemuir

Mailer (11'), Towler (89')
Corbett (15'), Miller (84')
Thomson (40'), Wedderburn (77')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
2-1
Elgin
Orr (4', 13')
Tapping (71')
Hester (38')
Mailer (66'), Draper (79')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Elgin
2-2
Stenhousemuir
Hester (37' pen.), McHardy (90+1')
Cooper (70'), McHardy (85')
Grivosti (82')
Miller (17'), Orr (21')
Forbes (4'), Wedderburn (73')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-2
Elgin
Jamieson (69')
O'Reilly (79'), Miller (90+3')
McHardy (4'), Dingwall (76')
McHardy (30'), Spark (36')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Stenhousemuir
2-0
Elgin
Muir (47'), Biabi (85')
Blair (58'), Kane (74'), Little (83'), Yeats (90+4')

Bronsky (65'), Cameron (82')
rhs 2.0


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