Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.