| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 35 | -5 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 35 | 31 | 71 |
| 3 | Montrose | 35 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 | Queen's Park | 35 | 15 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 28.41% | 25.86% | 45.72% |
| Both teams to score 51.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% | 51.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% | 73.64% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% | 32.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% | 69.42% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% | 22.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% | 56.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.41% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 4.52% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.72% |