Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK

Links Park

Montrose
0 - 3
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-1)

McInroy (37'), Armstrong (69'), Shaw (90+2')
Watson (53')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Montrose and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

Last Six:

Last Game: Fraserburgh 2-4 Montrose
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Kelty Hearts	0	0	0
8	Montrose	0	0	0
9	Peterhead	0	0	0

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Partick (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Hibernian	0	0	0
6	Kilmarnock	0	0	0
7	Livingston	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 77.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.67%) and 0-3 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-0 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Montrose	Draw	Kilmarnock
7.26% ( -0.06)	14.86% ( -0.03)	77.88% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 41.27% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

-0.11)

41.48% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12% (

-0.12)

63.88% (

0.12)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.23% (

-0.24)

54.77% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.26% (

-0.15)

87.74% (

0.15)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.24% (

-0)

8.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.92% (

-0.01)

30.08% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Montrose 7.26%

Kilmarnock 77.86%

Draw 14.86%

Montrose	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 7.26%	1-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.46% Total : 14.86%	0-2 @ 14.22% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 11.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.39% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 77.86%