Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
3 - 0
Fraserburgh

Sewell (25'), Bryson (52'), Yates (75')
Jamieson (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stenhousemuir and Fraserburgh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fraserburgh 2-4 Montrose
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawFraserburgh
29.75% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)22.34% (-0.023 -0.02)47.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.98% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.83% (0.093000000000004 0.09)35.16% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.82% (0.104 0.1)57.17% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.42% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)57.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Fraserburgh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.050999999999988 0.05)15.14% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.27% (0.098999999999997 0.1)43.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 29.75%
    Fraserburgh 47.91%
    Draw 22.34%
StenhousemuirDrawFraserburgh
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 47.91%