Scottish League Two | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Dumbarton

O'Reilly (72')
Yates (4'), Orr (59'), Orr (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Blair (33'), Orr (33' og.), McNiff (54', 54'), Gray (90+1')
McKee (74'), Wallace (81'), Carswell (84')

Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Dumbarton
42.58% ( -0.2)	25.08% ( -0.13)	32.34% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 56.52% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15% (

0.69)

46.84% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9% (

0.64)

69.1% (

-0.64)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02% (

0.2)

21.97% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73% (

0.3)

55.27% (

-0.3)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.55)

27.56% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

0.71)

63.08% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 42.58%

Dumbarton 32.34%

Draw 25.07%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.34%