Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
Albion Rovers	Draw	Dumbarton
30.97% ( -0.53)	25.56% ( 0.29)	43.47% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57% (

-1.44)

49.43% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53% (

-1.31)

71.47% (

1.3)

Albion Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-1.07)

29.74% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

-1.32)

65.81% (

1.32)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

-0.5)

22.66% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

-0.75)

56.3% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Albion Rovers 30.97%

Dumbarton 43.46%

Draw 25.55%

Albion Rovers	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.97%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.46%