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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Stenhousemuir

Kilmarnock
4 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Polworth (5'), Shaw (33' pen., 79'), Armstrong (54')
Armstrong (53'), Wright (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yates (23')
Corbett (35')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Kilmarnock and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

Last Six:
    Last Game: Montrose 0-3 Kilmarnock
    Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

    Stenhousemuir

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Montrose 0-2 Stenhousemuir
      Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 76.04%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 6.95%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

      Result
      KilmarnockDrawStenhousemuir
      76.04% (0.26000000000001 0.26)17.01% (0.218 0.22)6.95% (-0.473 -0.47)
      Both teams to score 33.22% (-2.703 -2.7)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      48.16% (-2.438 -2.44)51.84% (2.443 2.44)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      26.4% (-2.152 -2.15)73.6% (2.157 2.16)
      Kilmarnock Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      88.08% (-0.605 -0.61)11.92% (0.611 0.61)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      62.72% (-1.311 -1.31)37.28% (1.315 1.32)
      Stenhousemuir Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      37.72% (-2.789 -2.79)62.28% (2.793 2.79)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      8.23% (-1.3819 -1.38)91.77% (1.387 1.39)
      Score Analysis
          Kilmarnock 76.03%
          Stenhousemuir 6.95%
          Draw 17.01%
      KilmarnockDrawStenhousemuir
      2-0 @ 16.79% (0.82 0.82)
      1-0 @ 15.79% (1.13 1.13)
      3-0 @ 11.9% (0.3 0.3)
      2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.348 -0.35)
      4-0 @ 6.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.392 -0.39)
      4-1 @ 3% (-0.288 -0.29)
      5-0 @ 2.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
      3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.231 -0.23)
      5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.157 -0.16)
      6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
      Other @ 2.38%
      Total : 76.03%
      		1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.139 -0.14)
      0-0 @ 7.43% (0.696 0.7)
      2-2 @ 1.88% (-0.273 -0.27)
      Other @ 0.23%
      Total : 17.01%
      		0-1 @ 3.52% (0.021 0.02)
      1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.208 -0.21)
      Other @ 1.66%
      Total : 6.95%

      Head to Head
      Apr 3, 2021 3pm
      Stenhousemuir
      0-4
      Kilmarnock

      Yeats (60'), Tapping (72')
      Lafferty (38' pen., 45+1', 56'), Oakley (87')
      Power (74')