Dumbarton
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
Annan Athletic

Dumbarton
4 - 0
Annan

Byrne (3', 53'), Gray (40'), Buchanan (88')
Carswell (9'), Byrne (19'), Lynas (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Goss (9'), Hunter (14'), Swinglehurst (60')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Annan Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawAnnan Athletic
42.74% (0.381 0.38)27.24% (-0.215 -0.22)30.01% (-0.175 -0.17)
Both teams to score 48.7% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (0.722 0.72)56.48% (-0.731 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (0.577 0.58)77.48% (-0.586 -0.59)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (0.532 0.53)26.15% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (0.712 0.71)61.22% (-0.722 -0.72)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (0.25 0.25)34.05% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (0.268 0.27)70.74% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 42.74%
    Annan Athletic 30.01%
    Draw 27.23%
DumbartonDrawAnnan Athletic
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.01%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2019 3pm
Group E
Annan
0-1
Dumbarton

Wilkie (59')
Tierney (63')
McGeever (89')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
E
Dumbarton
0-0
Annan
Annan win 4-3 on penalties

McLaughlin (59')
Nade (33')

Creaney (43'), Moxon (62')
Moxon (74')