Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.