Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Elgin City

Stenhousemuir
1 - 2
Elgin

Jamieson (69')
O'Reilly (79'), Miller (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McHardy (4'), Dingwall (76')
McHardy (30'), Spark (36')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Elgin City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elgin City in this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawElgin City
28.25%24.31%47.43%
Both teams to score 56.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26%67.73%
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4%29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37%65.63%
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04%50.95%
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 28.25%
    Elgin City 47.43%
    Draw 24.3%
StenhousemuirDrawElgin City
2-1 @ 6.96%
1-0 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.25%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 5.73%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 5.17%
0-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 3.15%
1-4 @ 2.13%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.43%