Scottish League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Adam Brown 23' goal
  • Bernard Coll 30' yellowcard
  • Ross Lyon 86' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Agyeman 13'
  • goal Joe Cardle 33'
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 66'
  • goal Alfie Agyeman 71'

Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Cowdenbeath
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Thomas Orr

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 Edinburgh
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Nathan Austin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result

Stenhousemuir 18.33%
Draw 21.28%
Kelty Hearts 60.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.31%
Under 2.5 42.69%
Over 3.5 34.91%
Under 3.5 65.09%

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 63.07%
Under 0.5 36.93%
Over 1.5 26.28%
Under 1.5 73.72%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 86.3%
Under 0.5 13.7%
Over 1.5 59.06%
Under 1.5 40.94%

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 18.33%
Draw 21.28%
Kelty Hearts 60.39%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 5.04%
2-1 @ 4.99%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 18.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.28%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 10.05%
0-2 @ 10%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-3 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 6.6%
0-4 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-5 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 60.39%