Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.