Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.