Forfar Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Station Park
Kelty Hearts

Forfar
1 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Moore (54')
Brindley (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Munro (10' og.), Hunter (86')
Higginbotham (75'), Agyeman (90+3'), Jamieson (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Forfar Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forfar Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: East Fife 1-0 Forfar
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
38.82% (1.993 1.99)24.99% (0.081 0.08)36.19% (-2.08 -2.08)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.428 -0.43)45.63% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.408 -0.41)67.96% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.85600000000001 0.86)23.29% (-0.862 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (1.234 1.23)57.23% (-1.24 -1.24)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-1.312 -1.31)24.7% (1.306 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-1.868 -1.87)59.24% (1.862 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 38.82%
    Kelty Hearts 36.19%
    Draw 24.98%
Forfar AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.255 0.25)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.355 0.36)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.404 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.266 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.118 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.82%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.275 -0.28)
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.19%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Forfar
Hill (31')
Warnock (47')
McCallum (90+2')
McCluskey (50')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Forfar
1-0
Kelty Hearts
Aitken (73')
Slater (58'), McCluskey (58')

Reilly (81')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Kelty Hearts
1-0
Forfar
Agyeman (47')
Forster (64')

Meechan (63'), Munro (68'), McCluskey (84')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Forfar
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Aitken (17' pen.), Thomson (45+1')
Irvine (45')
Austin (22', 64')
rhs 2.0


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