Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordon Forster 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Todd 42'

Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Clyde 3 - 0 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alfie Agyeman

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.15pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Montrose
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Craig Wighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Kelty Hearts 34.82% (-0.51)
Draw 27.28% (-0.06)
Dunfermline Athletic 37.91% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.96% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.47% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 55.53% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 23.3% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 76.71% (-0.16)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 69.75% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 30.26% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 33.58% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 66.43% (+0.28)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.63% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 28.37% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 35.89% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 64.11% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 34.82%
Draw 27.27%
Dunfermline Athletic 37.9%
Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.27%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 10.81% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.14% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.81% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.42% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.86% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.9%