Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Alloa Athletic

Dunfermline
1 - 1
Alloa

Hamilton (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sammon (59')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

Last Six:
    Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Dunfermline
    Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

    Alloa Athletic

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Alloa 0-2 Ross County
      Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

      Result
      Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
      45.43% (0.291 0.29)25.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)29.1% (-0.326 -0.33)
      Both teams to score 53.63% (-0.309 -0.31)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      50.11% (-0.314 -0.31)49.89% (0.313 0.31)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      28.12% (-0.282 -0.28)71.88% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
      Dunfermline Athletic Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      78.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      44.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
      Alloa Athletic Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.71% (-0.398 -0.4)31.29% (0.398 0.4)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      32.35% (-0.464 -0.46)67.65% (0.465 0.47)
      Score Analysis
          Dunfermline Athletic 45.43%
          Alloa Athletic 29.1%
          Draw 25.45%
      Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
      1-0 @ 10.41% (0.13 0.13)
      2-1 @ 9.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
      2-0 @ 7.9% (0.101 0.1)
      3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      3-0 @ 3.99% (0.051 0.05)
      3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
      4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
      4-0 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
      4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
      Other @ 2.32%
      Total : 45.43%
      		1-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
      0-0 @ 6.87% (0.087 0.09)
      2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
      3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
      Other @ 0.12%
      Total : 25.45%
      		0-1 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
      1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.064 -0.06)
      0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
      1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
      2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
      0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
      Other @ 2.88%
      Total : 29.1%

      Head to Head
      Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
      Alloa
      1-0
      Dunfermline
      Murray (47')
      Grant (60'), Dick (61'), Cameron (75')
      Feb 20, 2021 3pm
      Dunfermline
      2-1
      Alloa
      Wighton (14', 59')
      McManus (81')
      Cawley (44')
      Oct 24, 2020 3pm
      Alloa
      1-4
      Dunfermline
      Cawley (45+1')
      Dow (7'), O'Hara (67', 77', 90')
      Mar 28, 2020 3pm
      Alloa
      P-P
      Dunfermline
      Dec 28, 2019 3pm
      Dunfermline
      1-3
      Alloa
      Nisbet (20')
      Brown (21'), O'Hara (25'), Flannigan (66' pen.)
      Brown (67'), Hetherington (68')