Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ross County in this match.