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Edinburgh City
Scottish League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium
Dunfermline Athletic

Edinburgh
0 - 3
Dunfermline


Shanley (37')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McCann (14', 41'), Mochrie (72')
Edwards (21')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Edinburgh City and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawDunfermline Athletic
32.42% (0.644 0.64)26.56% (0.472 0.47)41.01% (-1.113 -1.11)
Both teams to score 51.69% (-1.272 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (-1.737 -1.74)53.11% (1.74 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-1.497 -1.5)74.68% (1.499 1.5)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)30.61% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.523 -0.52)66.84% (0.526 0.53)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-1.351 -1.35)25.51% (1.351 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (-1.883 -1.88)60.36% (1.886 1.89)
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 32.42%
    Dunfermline Athletic 41.01%
    Draw 26.55%
Edinburgh CityDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.511 0.51)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.47% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Group H
Edinburgh
1-0
Dunfermline
Handling (87')
Thomson (61'), Walker (81')

Ashcroft (72')