St Mirren logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Edinburgh City

St Mirren
3 - 1
Edinburgh

O'Hara (8' pen.), Ayunga (25', 46')
Tait (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Handling (53')
Brian (12'), Tapping (45+1'), Shanley (79')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Mirren and Edinburgh City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawEdinburgh City
55.13% (-0.195 -0.2)24.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.23% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.056000000000004 0.06)55.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.045999999999999 0.05)76.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)19.92% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)52.07% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (0.21 0.21)42.26% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (0.18 0.18)78.66% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 55.12%
    Edinburgh City 20%
    Draw 24.87%
St MirrenDrawEdinburgh City
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2019 7.45pm
Group H
St Mirren
1-0
Edinburgh
Djorkaeff (88' pen.)
Cooke (81')

Thomson (70'), Crane (76')
rhs 2.0


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