Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.