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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Kelty Hearts

Livingston
2 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Kelly (11' pen.), Cancar (77')
Fitzwater (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardle (59')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Livingston and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Livingston
    Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

    Kelty Hearts

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-3 Kelty Hearts
      Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

      Result
      LivingstonDrawKelty Hearts
      51.18% (0.452 0.45)23.59% (-0.103 -0.1)25.23% (-0.35 -0.35)
      Both teams to score 56.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      55.49% (0.147 0.15)44.51% (-0.147 -0.15)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      33.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)66.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
      Livingston Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      82.56% (0.22499999999999 0.22)17.43% (-0.225 -0.23)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      52.11% (0.394 0.39)47.88% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
      Kelty Hearts Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.56% (-0.206 -0.21)31.44% (0.206 0.21)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      32.18% (-0.238 -0.24)67.82% (0.238 0.24)
      Score Analysis
          Livingston 51.18%
          Kelty Hearts 25.23%
          Draw 23.58%
      LivingstonDrawKelty Hearts
      2-1 @ 9.68% (0.028 0.03)
      1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-0 @ 8.36% (0.07 0.07)
      3-1 @ 5.63% (0.057 0.06)
      3-0 @ 4.87% (0.077 0.08)
      3-2 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
      4-1 @ 2.46% (0.043 0.04)
      4-0 @ 2.13% (0.049 0.05)
      4-2 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
      Other @ 3.8%
      Total : 51.18%
      		1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
      2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
      0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.035 -0.04)
      3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      Other @ 0.17%
      Total : 23.58%
      		1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.066 -0.07)
      0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
      0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
      1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
      2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
      0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
      Other @ 2.76%
      Total : 25.23%