Scottish League Cup
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Sean Kelly 11' goal
  • Jack Fitzwater 35' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 77' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Cardle 59'

Livingston vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 16, 2022 3.00pm
Cove Rangers 1 - 2 Livingston

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Cove Rangers 2 - 3 Kelty Hearts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result

Livingston 51.18% (+0.46)
Draw 23.59% (-0.11)
Kelty Hearts 25.23% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.49% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.51% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 33.12% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 66.88% (-0.15)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 82.56% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 17.43% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 52.11% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 47.88% (-0.40)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 31.44% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 32.18% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 67.82% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Livingston 51.18%
Draw 23.58%
Kelty Hearts 25.23%
Livingston
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.87% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.13% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 51.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.58%
Kelty Hearts
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.23%