Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
5 - 1
Forfar

Jakubiak (21', 24'), McGinn (38'), French (45'), Cameron (66')
Kerr (89')

FT(HT: 4-0)

McCluskey (68')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dundee and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

Last Six:

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Dundee
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0
4	Dundee	0	0	0
5	Greenock Morton	0	0	0

Forfar Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Forfar 2-2 Stranraer (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Elgin City	0	0	0
7	Forfar Athletic	0	0	0
8	Stenhousemuir	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Forfar Athletic
53.85% ( -0.02)	23.68% ( -0.02)	22.47% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38% (

0.13)

47.62% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

0.12)

69.82% (

-0.13)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

0.04)

17.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

0.07)

48.17% (

-0.07)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

0.11)

35.54% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

0.12)

72.3% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Dundee 53.84%

Forfar Athletic 22.47%

Draw 23.68%

Dundee	Draw	Forfar Athletic
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.84%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.47%