Scottish League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Bet Butler Stadium

Dumbarton
2 - 1
Elgin

Love (51' pen., 54' pen.)
Lynas (6'), Buchanan (17'), Byrne (29'), Blair (34'), Gray (56'), McNiff (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hester (27')
Cameron (30'), Dolzanski (50'), Hester (54'), McHardy (60')

Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Elgin City
43.8% ( 0.05)	26.61% ( -0)	29.59% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

-0.01)

54.28% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.01)

75.67% (

0.01)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

0.02)

24.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

0.02)

59.12% (

-0.02)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

-0.04)

33.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

-0.04)

69.82% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 43.8%

Elgin City 29.59%

Draw 26.61%

Dumbarton	Draw	Elgin City
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.59%