Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
| 35.83% ( | 26.54% ( | 37.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( | 52.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( | 28.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( | 63.81% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( | 62.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.64% |