Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
35.83% ( 0.07) | 26.54% ( 0.06) | 37.64% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.41% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% ( -0.24) | 52.47% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( -0.21) | 74.14% ( 0.21) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.07) | 28.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( -0.09) | 63.81% ( 0.09) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( -0.19) | 27.07% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.55% ( -0.24) | 62.44% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |