Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kyle Connell 8' goal
  • Sam Stanton 35' goal
  • Scott Brown 83' goal
  • goal Brad Young 51'
  • goal Andy Murdoch 69'

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Inverness
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Aidan Connolly

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Morton 1 - 2 Ayr
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result

Raith Rovers 48.11% (+0.12)
Draw 26.14% (+0.08)
Ayr United 25.75% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.12% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.41% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 54.59% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 24.07% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 75.93% (+0.36)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 77.29% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 22.7% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 43.63% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 56.36% (+0.19)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 36.44% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 26.77% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 73.23% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 48.11%
Draw 26.13%
Ayr United 25.75%
Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 12.26% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.27% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.13%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.35% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.75%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 3'
  • goal James Maxwell 32'
  • goal James Maxwell 38'
  • yellowcard James Maxwell 39'
  • goal Sam Ashford 65'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jordan Houston 12' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 22' goal
  • Joe Chalmers 69' yellowcard
  • Mark McKenzie 76' goal
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 79'
  • yellowcard Tom Lang 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ethan Ross 12' goal
  • Dario Zanatta 27' goal
  • Dylan Tait 77' yellowcard
  • Liam Dick 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 27'
  • goal Jack Baird 71'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 7, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Aaron Muirhead 70' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Afolabi 75' redcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 81' redcard
  • goal Ethan Varian 14'
  • yellowcard Dario Zanatta 15'
  • goal Dario Zanatta 25'
  • yellowcard Blaise Riley-Snow 31'
  • redcard Blaise Riley-Snow 79'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Chalmers 29' yellowcard
  • Jordan Houston 68' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 72' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 77' yellowcard
  • Cammy Smith 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frankie Musonda 36'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 48'
  • goal Kyle Benedictus 57'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dylan Tait 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Iain Davidson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 73'