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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Hamilton logo

Arbroath
1 - 0
Hamilton

Linn (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 0-1 Raith Rovers
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Hamilton
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawHamilton Academical
42.1% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)25.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)31.94% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)50.76% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.058 -0.06)72.66% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)23.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)58.11% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)29.75% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 42.09%
    Hamilton Academical 31.94%
    Draw 25.95%
ArbroathDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.94%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
1-0
Arbroath
Lawson (58' pen.)
Winter (62'), Martin (65')

Allan (26'), Little (62'), Fosu (65')
O'Brien (56')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
0-1
Arbroath

Ryan (29'), Spence (60'), Popescu (87')
Hamilton (59')
Hamilton (31'), Hamilton (90+1'), O'Brien (90+3')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Arbroath
2-2
Hamilton
Low (38' pen.), McKenna (90+1' pen.)
Hamilton (56'), Little (87')
O'Reilly (25'), Ryan (45')
Popescu (38')
Spence (90+1')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hamilton
1-1
Arbroath
Ryan (16' pen.)
Ryan (48'), Hamilton (60'), Mullin (80')
O'Brien (90+1')
Craigen (77')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Arbroath
4-0
Hamilton
Stewart (45+2'), McKenna (57'), Nouble (80'), Low (85')
Henderson (12')

Hamilton (72')