Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 27.38% ( | 27.21% ( | 45.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( | 57.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( | 78.34% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( | 36.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( | 73.49% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( | 25.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( | 60.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.41% |