Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 54.66% ( | 26.23% ( | 19.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.36% ( | 60.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% ( | 80.72% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( | 22.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( | 55.89% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( | 46.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.84% ( | 82.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 15.6% ( 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 3-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-2 @ 3.41% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 1-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.11% |