Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.