Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 37.16% ( | 28.8% ( | 34.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.79% ( | 61.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% ( | 81.15% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( | 31.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( | 68.03% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( | 33.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0-0 @ 10.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.03% |