Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
3 - 3
Brechin

Oakley (6', 47' pen.), Shaw (38')

FT
(aet)

McHattie (28'), McGrath (72'), Spark (78')

Inverness win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Brechin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:

Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brechin City

Last Six:

Last Game: Brechin 1-1 Stirling (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Dumbarton	17	2.13	Byrne
2	Elgin	13	1.86	Hester
3	Stenhousemuir	13	1.63	O'Reilly
4	Stirling	12	1.71	Carrick
5	Stranraer	12	1.50	Woods
6	East Fife	10	1.25	Shepherd
7	Annan	9	1.29	Goss
8	Bonnyrigg Rose	8	1.14	Smith
9	Forfar	8	1.14	Aitken
10	Albion Rovers	6	0.86	Reilly

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Brechin City win it was 0-1 (6.21%).

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Brechin City
55.47% ( 0.01)	23.27%	21.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74% (

-0.01)

47.26% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

-0.01)

69.48% (

0.01)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

-0)

16.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09% (

46.91% (

-0)

Brechin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5% (

-0.02)

36.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.71% (

-0.01)

73.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.47%

Brechin City 21.26%

Draw 23.26%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Brechin City
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.92% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.08% Total : 55.47%	1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.21% 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.26%