Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 1
Inverness

FT(HT: 0-0)

Harper (47')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Inverness 3-3 Brechin (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
41.56% ( -0.21)	28.33% ( -0.02)	30.11% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64% (

0.14)

60.36% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

0.11)

80.51% (

-0.1)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

-0.05)

28.61% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59% (

-0.06)

64.42% (

0.06)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.95% (

0.25)

36.05% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17% (

0.25)

72.83% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 41.55%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.1%

Draw 28.32%

Ayr United	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.1%