Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
41.56% ( -0.21) | 28.33% ( -0.02) | 30.11% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 45.65% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.64% ( 0.14) | 60.36% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.49% ( 0.11) | 80.51% ( -0.1) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( -0.05) | 28.61% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( -0.06) | 64.42% ( 0.06) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% ( 0.25) | 36.05% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( 0.25) | 72.83% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 15 |
8 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Greenock MortonMorton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 5 |
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