Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Cameron Harper 47'

Ayr United vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 3 - 2 Ayr
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
Dundee 2 - 3 Inverness
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Billy Mckay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 41.56% (-0.21)
Draw 28.33% (-0.03)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.11% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.65% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.64% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 60.36% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 19.49% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 80.51% (-0.11)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 71.39% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.61% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.59% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.42% (+0.06)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 63.95% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 36.05% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 27.17% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 72.83% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Ayr United 41.55%
Draw 28.32%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.1%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 41.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.31% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.32%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 10.52% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.1%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Fraser Bryden 54' goal
  • Paul Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Markus Fjortoft 76' goal
  • goal Shane Sutherland 6'
  • goal Logan Chalmers 13'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Carson 19' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 33' yellowcard
  • David Carson 68' redcard
  • Lewis Nicolson 86' goal
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 31'
  • goal Sean McGinty 35'
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 64'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Joe Chalmers 15' goal
  • Paddy Reading 53' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 84' yellowcard
  • Markus Fjortoft 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Welsh 13'
  • goal Michael Gardyne 26'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 72'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sean McGinty 54' goal
  • David Carson 70' yellowcard
  • Robbie Deas 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Markus Fjortoft 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 75'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Mackay 6' goal
  • David Carson 39' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 47' goal
  • Sean Welsh 87' yellowcard
  • Roddy MacGregor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Miller 27'
  • goal Aaron Muirhead 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houston 65'
  • goal Josh Todd 67'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke McCowan 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 63' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 68' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Mackay 31'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Todorov 35'
  • goal Shane Sutherland 54'