Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 49.09% ( | 26.85% ( | 24.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( | 58.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( | 78.98% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( | 40.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( | 76.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 4% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.06% |