Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 55.21% ( | 24.43% ( | 20.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( | 53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( | 74.6% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( | 19.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( | 50.72% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( | 40.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( | 77.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.21% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.36% |