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Arbroath
Ayr United
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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Ayr United

Arbroath
0 - 2
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dempsey (70' pen.), Mitchell-Lawson (89')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 4-2 Partick
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
55.21% (-0.385 -0.38)24.43% (0.295 0.29)20.36% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-1.028 -1.03)53% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.884 -0.88)74.6% (0.884 0.88)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.536 -0.54)19.1% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (-0.897 -0.9)50.72% (0.897 0.9)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.496 -0.5)40.71% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.45 -0.45)77.29% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 55.21%
    Ayr United 20.36%
    Draw 24.42%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 12.87% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 55.21%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Ayr
0-0
Arbroath

Shanks (28'), Jacobs (37'), Craigen (58'), McKenna (66'), Hancock (90+2')
O'Brien (81')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Arbroath
1-0
Ayr
Hamilton (50')
O'Brien (7'), Little (67'), Wighton (71')

Houston (45+2')
Ashford (78')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Arbroath
Adeloye (70'), McKenzie (87')
Adeloye (25'), Fjortoft (59')
Nouble (10'), McKenna (28')
Hamilton (69'), Low (76')